Is the Housing Market Cooling? Temecula, Murrieta, and Menifee September Update

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Temecula, Murrieta, and Menifee Housing Market Update: Prices Rising or Falling?

Are you wondering whether home prices in Temecula, Murrieta, and Menifee are rising or falling? In this detailed market update, we dive into the latest real estate trends to clearly understand what’s happening in these Southern California markets. Whether you’re a buyer or seller, having access to the latest housing data is essential for making informed decisions. Here’s what you need to know about current listings, sales prices, and market dynamics.

New Listings Drop in September

For September 2024, the number of new listings dropped significantly compared to August. Temecula saw 122 new listings, Murrieta had 162, and Menifee followed with 144. These numbers are reflective of the ongoing inventory shortage that’s been affecting the market for the past two years. Buyers are facing less choice, while sellers are benefiting from limited competition.

Active Listings Increasing Despite Fewer New Listings

While fewer homes are being listed, the number of active listings has been steadily increasing. This creates a shift where sellers may need to adjust pricing strategies to stay competitive, particularly in the higher price ranges. Homes priced between $600,000 and $750,000 are moving faster, while properties priced at $850,000 or above are seeing fewer offers due to rising mortgage rates.

Sales Prices Are Leveling Off

Median sales prices in Temecula, Murrieta, and Menifee have either decreased or decreased slightly. The lower-priced homes are driving most of the transactions, causing the overall median to stagnate. In Temecula, the average sales price is hovering around $762,000, while Murrieta is at $680,000 and Menifee is at $597,000.

Days on Market Are Creeping Up

Homes are staying on the market slightly longer compared to the hyper-competitive markets of 2020-2022. In September, the average days on the market were 16 in Temecula and Menifee, and 20 in Murrieta. While these numbers are still under the historical average, they represent a cooling compared to previous years, giving buyers more room to negotiate.

Is It a Good Time to Buy?

If you’re a buyer, now may be the time to jump into the market. Mortgage rates have dipped slightly, and with fewer buyers actively searching during the slower fall and winter months, you may face less competition. Additionally, properties that have been sitting on the market for 30+ days could be opportunities to negotiate a better deal.

Supply Levels Are Slowly Increasing

The supply of homes is gradually increasing, though still below what would be considered a “balanced” market. With inventory climbing to levels not seen since March 2019, the market may shift further toward buyers in the coming months if this trend continues.

Overall, the Temecula, Murrieta, and Menifee housing markets are stabilizing, with moderate price fluctuations and a slower pace than seen in previous years. Whether you’re a buyer or seller, understanding these trends is crucial for making informed decisions. As always, I recommend watching the market closely over the next few months to spot opportunities.

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