15 Homes Priced Below Appraised Value — Temecula, Murrieta, Menifee & Winchester (Late July 2026)

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Recent Blog

Best Deal Homes in Temecula Valley

Greenleaf Real Estate & Appraisal

15 active homes that deserve a closer look

These listings were compared with recent closed sales in Temecula, Murrieta, Menifee, and Winchester. The goal is not to call every inexpensive home a deal. It is to find listings with credible nearby sales support, then clearly identify the risks that still need to be investigated.

501active listings reviewed
805closed sales reviewed
4 citiesanalyzed separately
July 22, 2026analysis date

How the list was built: Comp searches began within 0.75 miles, targeted similar living area and year built, and expanded only when the nearby sale pool was limited. Pool, lot, condition, HOA, Mello-Roos, solar arrangements, story count, garage, and other available MLS characteristics were considered.

View the valuation and adjustment framework
Living area: Data-derived and similarity-weighted. I did not force one universal price-per-square-foot adjustment across every city and price range.
Private pool: Modeled at approximately $60,000 when the market data and comp pairing supported it, within the $50,000–$70,000 local range provided.
Solar: Leased solar and PPAs received no positive value. Owned solar was considered cautiously rather than automatically assigned a fixed amount.
Other characteristics: Lot size, age, bedrooms, bathrooms, garage, story count, HOA, location, condition indicators, Mello-Roos and distressed-sale signals affected comp weighting, confidence or ranking.

Why the table shows a net adjustment: The model reconciles several characteristics together. Showing a made-up fixed dollar amount for every individual feature would imply more precision than the data supports. The exact combined adjustment applied to each comparable is shown below each property.

#1
Menifee Standard sale / probate High confidence

29352 Tremont

MLS #SR26154286

Current list price $499,000
Estimated market range $585,000–$620,000
Estimated midpoint discount $103,500 · 17.2%
3 beds3 baths2,389 sq. ft.Built 20077,841 sq. ft. lot2-car garageNo HOA

Why this home should be on your radar

At $499,000, this home is priced well below nearby similar-size closed sales. Six nearby sales within about 0.7 miles support a value in the upper $500s to low $600s, and the home offers 2,389 square feet, single-story living, three bathrooms, and no HOA.

View comparable sales and valuation adjustments
Weighted comp indication$597,157
Statistical cross-check$623,022
Published value range$585,000–$620,000

The net model adjustment is the combined dollar adjustment applied to the closed price for differences in the available MLS characteristics. Positive means the comparable was adjusted upward toward the subject; negative means it was adjusted downward.

Comparable saleDistanceClosedSale priceNet model adjustmentAdjusted indicationSimilarityKey differences considered
29623 Camino Cristal0.29 mi.2026-05-21$580,000+$8,619$588,61971/100comp is 52 sq. ft. smaller; comp is 3 years older; comp lot is 3,485 sq. ft. smaller; comp has 2 more bedroom(s); comp has 1 more garage space(s)
29772 Northshore Street0.52 mi.2026-06-04$605,000+$9,352$614,35270/100comp is 2 years older; comp lot is 2,178 sq. ft. smaller; comp has 1 more bedroom(s); comp has 1 more garage space(s); HOA differs by about $198/mo.
29804 Cheshire Court0.42 mi.2026-06-26$600,000−$15,005$584,99567/100comp is 117 sq. ft. larger; comp is 3 years older; comp lot is 2,614 sq. ft. smaller; comp has 1 more bedroom(s)
30142 Lamplighter Lane0.13 mi.2026-05-07$725,000−$1,615$723,38566/100comp is 185 sq. ft. smaller; comp is 2 years newer; comp lot is 1,307 sq. ft. smaller; comp has 1 more bedroom(s); comp has 1 more garage space(s)
29553 Yarmouth Court0.66 mi.2026-06-26$640,000−$32,977$607,02364/100comp is 117 sq. ft. larger; comp is 2 years older; comp lot is 1,742 sq. ft. larger; comp has 1 more bedroom(s)
29820 Bay View0.56 mi.2026-05-22$600,000−$41,321$558,67963/100comp is 222 sq. ft. smaller; comp is 2 years older; comp lot is 1,743 sq. ft. smaller; HOA differs by about $198/mo.

What to verify

Probate and trust sale. Confirm property condition, required approvals, and the expected closing timeline.

#2
Murrieta Cosmetic upside High confidence

31544 Borega

MLS #SW26125218

Current list price $649,900
Estimated market range $695,000–$740,000
Estimated midpoint discount $67,600 · 9.4%
4 beds3 baths3,258 sq. ft.Built 20046,534 sq. ft. lot3-car garageHOA about $45/mo.

Why this home should be on your radar

Nearby homes between roughly 3,100 and 3,400 square feet closed from about $700,000 to $799,000. This home offers 3,258 square feet, four bedrooms, a three-car garage, and a low HOA, while the current price leaves room for cosmetic improvements.

View comparable sales and valuation adjustments
Weighted comp indication$716,136
Statistical cross-check$733,029
Published value range$695,000–$740,000

The net model adjustment is the combined dollar adjustment applied to the closed price for differences in the available MLS characteristics. Positive means the comparable was adjusted upward toward the subject; negative means it was adjusted downward.

Comparable saleDistanceClosedSale priceNet model adjustmentAdjusted indicationSimilarityKey differences considered
38236 Hermosa Court0.26 mi.2026-06-15$700,000+$11,870$711,87079/100comp is 145 sq. ft. smaller; comp has 1 more bedroom(s); comp has 1 fewer garage space(s)
37846 Apache Plume0.36 mi.2026-06-23$799,000−$51,880$747,12078/100comp is 71 sq. ft. smaller; comp is 9 years newer
37761 Apache Plume Drive0.44 mi.2026-04-13$755,000−$58,175$696,82578/100comp is 71 sq. ft. smaller; comp is 9 years newer
38150 Spring Canyon0.25 mi.2026-07-13$785,000−$29,450$755,55076/100comp is 146 sq. ft. larger; comp is 9 years newer; comp has 1 more bedroom(s); comp has 1 fewer garage space(s)
31394 Orchard Lane0.64 mi.2026-07-02$730,000−$27,892$702,10867/100comp is 210 sq. ft. larger; comp has 1 more bedroom(s); comp has 1 more bathroom(s)
38064 Amador0.32 mi.2026-06-10$789,000−$60,850$728,15063/100comp is 342 sq. ft. smaller; comp has 1 more bedroom(s); comp has 1 fewer garage space(s); comp has the pool

What to verify

MLS data indicates cosmetic repairs. Buyers should inspect the interior carefully and budget for updating.

#3
Menifee Standard sale Moderate confidence

30342 Singer Lane

MLS #SW26129190

Current list price $688,000
Estimated market range $735,000–$805,000
Estimated midpoint discount $82,000 · 10.6%
5 beds4 baths3,052 sq. ft.Built 20236,970 sq. ft. lot2-car garageHOA about $118/mo.

Why this home should be on your radar

Several newer homes around 3,020 square feet closed between approximately $750,000 and $800,000 within about half a mile. This 2023 home adds five bedrooms, a first-floor multigenerational suite, paid solar, and no rear neighbors.

View comparable sales and valuation adjustments
Weighted comp indication$794,673
Statistical cross-check$750,494
Published value range$735,000–$805,000

The net model adjustment is the combined dollar adjustment applied to the closed price for differences in the available MLS characteristics. Positive means the comparable was adjusted upward toward the subject; negative means it was adjusted downward.

Comparable saleDistanceClosedSale priceNet model adjustmentAdjusted indicationSimilarityKey differences considered
30495 Servin Lane0.22 mi.2026-06-30$769,000+$33,786$802,78685/100comp is 32 sq. ft. smaller; comp is 2 years newer; comp has 1 fewer bedroom(s); comp has 1 fewer bathroom(s)
32085 Deardoff Street0.52 mi.2026-05-20$750,000+$33,595$783,59584/100comp has 1 fewer bathroom(s)
30576 Freeman Drive0.22 mi.2026-06-26$785,000+$34,613$819,61384/100comp is 2 years newer; comp has 1 fewer bedroom(s); comp has 1 fewer bathroom(s)
32166 Neal Lane0.22 mi.2026-07-01$799,990+$50,673$850,66383/100comp is 32 sq. ft. smaller; comp is 2 years newer; comp has 1 fewer bedroom(s); comp has 1 fewer bathroom(s)
32380 Parker Street0.17 mi.2026-05-26$615,000+$57,662$672,66270/100comp is 399 sq. ft. smaller; comp is 2 years older; comp has 1 fewer bedroom(s)
32463 Mckiernan Lane0.14 mi.2026-04-17$637,000+$44,663$681,66367/100comp is 437 sq. ft. smaller; comp has 2 fewer bedroom(s); comp has 1 fewer bathroom(s)

What to verify

The upper end of the range depends on condition and the value buyers place on the multigenerational layout.

#4
Temecula Standard sale High confidence

39858 Amberley Circle

MLS #CV26134380

Current list price $609,900
Estimated market range $665,000–$695,000
Estimated midpoint discount $70,100 · 10.3%
3 beds3 baths1,674 sq. ft.Built 19887,405 sq. ft. lot3-car garageNo HOA

Why this home should be on your radar

The home is listed below the adjusted range indicated by nearby Temecula sales. It has been updated, includes a three-car garage, has no HOA, and has already received a meaningful price reduction.

View comparable sales and valuation adjustments
Weighted comp indication$684,982
Statistical cross-check$670,670
Published value range$665,000–$695,000

The net model adjustment is the combined dollar adjustment applied to the closed price for differences in the available MLS characteristics. Positive means the comparable was adjusted upward toward the subject; negative means it was adjusted downward.

Comparable saleDistanceClosedSale priceNet model adjustmentAdjusted indicationSimilarityKey differences considered
31070 Humbolt Court0.30 mi.2026-05-15$715,000−$29,409$685,59166/100comp is 263 sq. ft. larger; comp lot is 7,841 sq. ft. larger; comp has 1 more bedroom(s)
30993 Wellington0.34 mi.2026-06-11$699,000−$1,398$697,60265/100comp is 198 sq. ft. larger; comp lot is 3,921 sq. ft. larger; comp has 1 fewer bathroom(s)
39774 Amberley0.08 mi.2026-05-04$780,000−$75,859$704,14165/100comp is 323 sq. ft. larger; comp has 1 more bedroom(s); comp has the pool
40139 Roshani Drive0.96 mi.2026-06-26$675,000−$25,864$649,13659/100comp is 36 sq. ft. larger; comp is 10 years newer; comp lot is 1,743 sq. ft. larger; comp has 1 more bedroom(s); comp has 1 fewer bathroom(s)
30406 Milano1.11 mi.2026-06-17$685,500−$11,973$673,52752/100comp is 194 sq. ft. larger; comp is 2 years newer; comp lot is 2,613 sq. ft. smaller; comp has 1 more bedroom(s); comp has 1 fewer garage space(s)
40087 Cannes Court1.15 mi.2026-05-18$652,500+$31,079$683,57951/100comp is 194 sq. ft. larger; comp is 2 years newer; comp lot is 3,049 sq. ft. smaller; comp has 1 more bedroom(s); comp has 1 fewer garage space(s)

What to verify

Verify the quality of the recent improvements and whether any additional repairs remain.

#5
Winchester Short sale High confidence

32201 Rambling Court

MLS #DW25198636

Current list price $495,000
Estimated market range $550,000–$580,000
Estimated midpoint discount $70,000 · 12.4%
3 beds3 baths1,824 sq. ft.Built 20228,276 sq. ft. lot2-car garageHOA about $48/mo.

Why this home should be on your radar

Multiple nearby 2021 to 2022 homes closed from approximately $555,000 to $613,000, including a sale on the same street. The current $495,000 price creates one of the larger supported discounts in the data.

View comparable sales and valuation adjustments
Weighted comp indication$565,988
Statistical cross-check$579,600
Published value range$550,000–$580,000

The net model adjustment is the combined dollar adjustment applied to the closed price for differences in the available MLS characteristics. Positive means the comparable was adjusted upward toward the subject; negative means it was adjusted downward.

Comparable saleDistanceClosedSale priceNet model adjustmentAdjusted indicationSimilarityKey differences considered
29443 Canteen0.23 mi.2026-05-18$575,000−$10,578$564,42291/100comp is 3 years older; comp has 1 more garage space(s); HOA differs by about $48/mo.
29451 Beeler0.31 mi.2026-06-15$595,000−$16,122$578,87886/100comp is 44 sq. ft. larger; comp is 3 years older; HOA differs by about $48/mo.
29460 Bamboo Court0.38 mi.2026-05-20$573,800−$8,301$565,49983/100comp is 44 sq. ft. larger; comp is 2 years older; comp lot is 2,178 sq. ft. smaller; HOA differs by about $48/mo.
32057 Rambling Court0.19 mi.2026-05-20$613,000−$27,238$585,76273/100comp is 124 sq. ft. larger; comp lot is 1,306 sq. ft. smaller; comp has 1 fewer bathroom(s)
32323 Roman Warren0.23 mi.2026-04-16$555,000−$2,356$552,64473/100comp is 126 sq. ft. larger; comp is 4 years older; comp lot is 1,742 sq. ft. smaller; comp has 1 fewer bathroom(s); HOA differs by about $48/mo.
29032 Aubrey Cir0.61 mi.2026-05-27$518,000+$30,144$548,14467/100comp is 74 sq. ft. smaller; comp is 3 years older; comp lot is 1,742 sq. ft. smaller; comp has 1 fewer bathroom(s); HOA differs by about $48/mo.

What to verify

Approved short sale with long market time, leased solar, and Mello-Roos. Closing can take longer and terms may be controlled by the lender.

#6
Menifee Value-add / notice of default High confidence

24287 Insignia Drive

MLS #SW26155806

Current list price $600,000
Estimated market range $645,000–$680,000
Estimated midpoint discount $62,500 · 9.4%
4 beds3 baths2,734 sq. ft.Built 20215,663 sq. ft. lot2-car garageHOA about $137/mo.

Why this home should be on your radar

Very close sales in Audie Murphy Ranch closed from roughly $643,000 to $765,000. At $600,000, this 2021 home is priced below the adjusted comp range and offers a desirable downstairs bedroom and full bath.

View comparable sales and valuation adjustments
Weighted comp indication$663,113
Statistical cross-check$676,160
Published value range$645,000–$680,000

The net model adjustment is the combined dollar adjustment applied to the closed price for differences in the available MLS characteristics. Positive means the comparable was adjusted upward toward the subject; negative means it was adjusted downward.

Comparable saleDistanceClosedSale priceNet model adjustmentAdjusted indicationSimilarityKey differences considered
24320 INSIGNIA0.06 mi.2026-05-18$765,000−$62,232$702,76884/100comp is 164 sq. ft. larger; comp lot is 2,178 sq. ft. larger; comp has 1 more bedroom(s)
24334 Fair Oaks Court0.08 mi.2026-04-14$665,000−$2,166$662,83482/100comp is 273 sq. ft. smaller
30222 Old Corral0.54 mi.2026-06-17$695,000−$28,100$666,90081/100comp is 48 sq. ft. smaller; comp is 3 years older; comp has 1 more garage space(s)
24605 Hero0.35 mi.2026-06-12$700,000−$56,252$643,74879/100comp is 164 sq. ft. larger; comp has 1 more bedroom(s)
24155 Dusty Trail0.22 mi.2026-06-18$643,000+$16,377$659,37772/100comp is 316 sq. ft. smaller; comp has 1 more bathroom(s)
24406 Montgomery Way0.17 mi.2026-04-30$735,000−$101,366$633,63470/100comp is 392 sq. ft. larger; comp has 1 more bedroom(s); comp has 1 more bathroom(s); comp has 1 more garage space(s)

What to verify

The listing describes a need for TLC and shows a notice of default. Solar appears leased, so buyers should review the agreement and renovation costs.

#7
Winchester Short sale with pool Moderate confidence

29550 Woodcreek Trail

MLS #SW25182545

Current list price $630,000
Estimated market range $680,000–$725,000
Estimated midpoint discount $72,500 · 10.3%
4 beds3 baths2,722 sq. ft.Built 20226,534 sq. ft. lot3-car garagePrivate poolHOA about $90/mo.

Why this home should be on your radar

Nearby newer homes without private pools closed from about $640,000 to $715,000. This home adds a newer pool and spa, a first-floor bedroom and bath, and no rear neighbors, making the current price worth investigating.

View comparable sales and valuation adjustments
Weighted comp indication$747,977
Statistical cross-check$683,877
Published value range$680,000–$725,000

The net model adjustment is the combined dollar adjustment applied to the closed price for differences in the available MLS characteristics. Positive means the comparable was adjusted upward toward the subject; negative means it was adjusted downward.

Comparable saleDistanceClosedSale priceNet model adjustmentAdjusted indicationSimilarityKey differences considered
29567 Cherokee Trail0.19 mi.2026-05-21$640,000+$107,755$747,75574/100comp is 182 sq. ft. smaller; comp has 1 more bedroom(s); comp has 1 fewer garage space(s); subject has the pool
29569 Saddle Drive0.09 mi.2026-04-27$715,000+$56,190$771,19073/100comp is 293 sq. ft. larger; comp has 1 more bedroom(s); subject has the pool
32046 Prairie Crossing Dr0.55 mi.2026-04-14$615,000+$92,190$707,19054/100comp is 303 sq. ft. smaller; comp lot is 6,534 sq. ft. smaller; comp has 1 fewer garage space(s); subject has the pool; HOA differs by about $42/mo.

What to verify

Short sale. Confirm lender approval, the solar arrangement, pool permits, and whether the prior appraisal referenced in the listing remains relevant.

#8
Murrieta Standard sale Moderate confidence

37280 Huckaby Lane

MLS #CV26143073

Current list price $619,950
Estimated market range $650,000–$710,000
Estimated midpoint discount $60,050 · 8.8%
3 beds2 baths1,887 sq. ft.Built 19937,405 sq. ft. lot3-car garageNo HOA

Why this home should be on your radar

Two nearby larger homes on or near the same street closed around $729,000 to $745,000. This single-story home offers a view, a three-car garage, fresh improvements, and no HOA at a substantially lower list price.

View comparable sales and valuation adjustments
Weighted comp indication$689,221
Statistical cross-check$670,945
Published value range$650,000–$710,000

The net model adjustment is the combined dollar adjustment applied to the closed price for differences in the available MLS characteristics. Positive means the comparable was adjusted upward toward the subject; negative means it was adjusted downward.

Comparable saleDistanceClosedSale priceNet model adjustmentAdjusted indicationSimilarityKey differences considered
37211 Jerome Lane0.11 mi.2026-06-30$745,000+$22,664$767,66479/100comp is 200 sq. ft. larger; comp has 1 more bedroom(s); comp has 1 fewer garage space(s)
37258 Huckaby0.02 mi.2026-07-01$729,000−$42,517$686,48374/100comp is 200 sq. ft. larger; comp has 1 more bedroom(s); comp has 1 fewer garage space(s); comp has the pool
23046 Joaquin Ridge Drive0.49 mi.2026-06-25$590,000+$54,181$644,18170/100comp is 29 sq. ft. smaller; comp is 5 years older; comp lot is 2,178 sq. ft. smaller; comp has 1 more bathroom(s); comp has 1 fewer garage space(s)
23476 Bending Oak Court0.55 mi.2026-06-22$729,900−$5,752$724,14868/100comp is 208 sq. ft. larger; comp is 2 years newer; comp lot is 1,307 sq. ft. larger
22952 Joaquin Ridge Drive0.57 mi.2026-04-21$549,999+$69,561$619,56064/100comp is 205 sq. ft. smaller; comp is 5 years older; comp has 1 fewer garage space(s); HOA differs by about $103/mo.

What to verify

The comparable range is wider than ideal. Buyers should verify the view, interior quality, and any remaining repair items.

#9
Murrieta Pool home Moderate confidence

39878 Avenida Miguel Oeste

MLS #TR26156188

Current list price $649,900
Estimated market range $675,000–$745,000
Estimated midpoint discount $60,100 · 8.5%
4 beds3 baths2,153 sq. ft.Built 19904,792 sq. ft. lot2-car garagePrivate poolNo HOA

Why this home should be on your radar

This home combines a private pool and spa, paid-off solar, four bedrooms, and no HOA. Nearby sales ranged from the mid-$600s to upper-$700s, and the current price sits near the bottom of the adjusted range.

View comparable sales and valuation adjustments
Weighted comp indication$716,276
Statistical cross-check$706,848
Published value range$675,000–$745,000

The net model adjustment is the combined dollar adjustment applied to the closed price for differences in the available MLS characteristics. Positive means the comparable was adjusted upward toward the subject; negative means it was adjusted downward.

Comparable saleDistanceClosedSale priceNet model adjustmentAdjusted indicationSimilarityKey differences considered
25497 Blackwood Road0.50 mi.2026-04-15$585,000+$50,846$635,84673/100comp is 2 years older; comp lot is 2,177 sq. ft. larger; comp has 1 more garage space(s); subject has the pool
40000 Ravenwood0.31 mi.2026-07-14$700,000+$48,051$748,05172/100comp is 56 sq. ft. smaller; comp is 2 years older; comp lot is 2,613 sq. ft. larger; comp has 1 more bedroom(s); subject has the pool
39629 Calle Casablanca0.46 mi.2026-05-08$660,000+$19,927$679,92771/100comp is 250 sq. ft. smaller; comp has 1 more garage space(s)
41045 Willowbend0.28 mi.2026-06-08$700,000+$39,876$739,87671/100comp is 147 sq. ft. smaller; comp is 2 years older; comp lot is 2,613 sq. ft. larger; comp has 1 more garage space(s); subject has the pool
25253 Corte Mandarina0.12 mi.2026-07-16$780,000−$52,955$727,04567/100comp is 286 sq. ft. larger; comp is 8 years newer; comp lot is 6,969 sq. ft. larger; comp has 1 more bedroom(s)
25455 Knollwood Drive0.25 mi.2026-04-23$588,000+$54,026$642,02664/100comp is 249 sq. ft. smaller; comp is 3 years older; comp lot is 2,613 sq. ft. larger; subject has the pool

What to verify

The estimate is sensitive to pool condition, interior upgrades, and the exact solar documentation.

#10
Winchester Standard sale High confidence

35069 Painted Rock

MLS #IG26152267

Current list price $699,900
Estimated market range $735,000–$790,000
Estimated midpoint discount $62,600 · 8.2%
5 beds3 baths3,001 sq. ft.Built 20159,148 sq. ft. lot3-car garageHOA about $50/mo.

Why this home should be on your radar

A nearly identical home on the same street closed around $720,000, while several other nearby larger homes closed from about $750,000 to $785,000. This home adds a four-car garage, an 11,000-plus-square-foot lot, and upgraded condition.

View comparable sales and valuation adjustments
Weighted comp indication$766,452
Statistical cross-check$760,637
Published value range$735,000–$790,000

The net model adjustment is the combined dollar adjustment applied to the closed price for differences in the available MLS characteristics. Positive means the comparable was adjusted upward toward the subject; negative means it was adjusted downward.

Comparable saleDistanceClosedSale priceNet model adjustmentAdjusted indicationSimilarityKey differences considered
32526 Presidio Hills0.18 mi.2026-05-07$785,000−$10,032$774,96886/100comp is 212 sq. ft. larger
32461 Marietta Court0.23 mi.2026-06-26$775,000+$1,073$776,07380/100comp is 92 sq. ft. smaller; comp is 2 years older; comp lot is 1,742 sq. ft. larger; comp has 2 fewer bedroom(s)
32051 Clear Springs Drive0.30 mi.2026-06-25$715,000+$32,402$747,40280/100comp is 55 sq. ft. smaller; comp is 5 years older; comp lot is 2,178 sq. ft. smaller; comp has 1 fewer bedroom(s); comp has 1 more bathroom(s)
32144 Old Country Court0.29 mi.2026-06-18$780,000−$81,357$698,64374/100comp is 107 sq. ft. larger; comp is 9 years older; comp lot is 1,742 sq. ft. larger; comp has 2 more bathroom(s); comp has 1 more garage space(s)
32684 Salvia Circle0.37 mi.2026-06-17$750,000+$26,424$776,42473/100comp is 156 sq. ft. larger; comp is 12 years older; comp has 1 fewer bedroom(s); HOA differs by about $50/mo.
34581 Spindle Tree0.47 mi.2026-06-12$720,000−$4,976$715,02471/100comp is 187 sq. ft. larger; comp is 9 years older

What to verify

Verify the fifth-bedroom configuration and compare upgrade quality with the closest same-model sale.

#11
Winchester Standard sale High confidence

28463 Memory Lane

MLS #IV26122003

Current list price $599,000
Estimated market range $625,000–$675,000
Estimated midpoint discount $51,000 · 7.8%
4 beds3 baths2,227 sq. ft.Built 20228,712 sq. ft. lot2-car garageNo HOA

Why this home should be on your radar

Two very close same-size homes closed around $616,000 and $634,000, with a larger nearby model closing at $675,000. This home includes paid solar, no HOA, a large lot, and a first-floor bedroom and bath.

View comparable sales and valuation adjustments
Weighted comp indication$666,316
Statistical cross-check$634,762
Published value range$625,000–$675,000

The net model adjustment is the combined dollar adjustment applied to the closed price for differences in the available MLS characteristics. Positive means the comparable was adjusted upward toward the subject; negative means it was adjusted downward.

Comparable saleDistanceClosedSale priceNet model adjustmentAdjusted indicationSimilarityKey differences considered
28480 Cosmos Drive0.10 mi.2026-05-07$615,999+$26,302$642,30193/100comp lot is 1,307 sq. ft. smaller
28410 Pinon Court0.10 mi.2026-06-09$634,000+$31,250$665,25092/100comp lot is 1,742 sq. ft. larger
28331 Memory Ln0.14 mi.2026-04-16$675,000+$33,732$708,73279/100comp is 201 sq. ft. larger; comp lot is 1,307 sq. ft. smaller

What to verify

The stronger value conclusion depends on condition being equal to or better than the closest same-plan sales.

#12
Murrieta Standard sale High confidence

29360 Ariel Street

MLS #SW26123945

Current list price $699,999
Estimated market range $735,000–$785,000
Estimated midpoint discount $60,001 · 7.9%
5 beds3 baths3,273 sq. ft.Built 20056,098 sq. ft. lot3-car garageNo HOA

Why this home should be on your radar

Nearby large Murrieta homes closed from approximately $731,000 to $774,000 after adjustment. This property offers 3,273 square feet, five bedrooms, a three-car garage, paid solar, no rear neighbors, and no HOA.

View comparable sales and valuation adjustments
Weighted comp indication$760,381
Statistical cross-check$760,850
Published value range$735,000–$785,000

The net model adjustment is the combined dollar adjustment applied to the closed price for differences in the available MLS characteristics. Positive means the comparable was adjusted upward toward the subject; negative means it was adjusted downward.

Comparable saleDistanceClosedSale priceNet model adjustmentAdjusted indicationSimilarityKey differences considered
29576 Andromeda Street0.26 mi.2026-05-21$765,000+$9,144$774,14479/100comp is 173 sq. ft. larger; comp has 1 fewer bedroom(s); comp has 1 more bathroom(s)
37582 Newcastle Road0.67 mi.2026-06-02$770,000−$1,012$768,98876/100comp is 34 sq. ft. smaller; comp is 5 years older; comp lot is 1,743 sq. ft. larger
29426 Shady Lane0.32 mi.2026-05-12$635,000+$96,505$731,50575/100comp is 274 sq. ft. smaller; comp is 3 years older; comp lot is 1,307 sq. ft. larger
29215 Derby0.50 mi.2026-07-01$670,000+$26,830$696,83073/100comp is 105 sq. ft. smaller; comp is 3 years older; comp lot is 1,307 sq. ft. larger; comp has 1 fewer bedroom(s); comp has 1 more bathroom(s)

What to verify

Confirm the solar payoff and compare interior condition with the closest $765,000 sale.

#13
Temecula Updated home / large lot High confidence

41899 Humber

MLS #SW26096242

Current list price $644,888
Estimated market range $675,000–$715,000
Estimated midpoint discount $50,112 · 7.2%
3 beds3 baths1,700 sq. ft.Built 198710,019 sq. ft. lot2-car garageHOA about $46/mo.

Why this home should be on your radar

A nearby home on the same street closed around $665,000, and the subject has a larger lot, updated finishes, RV parking, and a recent price reduction. The 10,000-square-foot lot is a meaningful advantage in this price range.

View comparable sales and valuation adjustments
Weighted comp indication$711,987
Statistical cross-check$680,860
Published value range$675,000–$715,000

The net model adjustment is the combined dollar adjustment applied to the closed price for differences in the available MLS characteristics. Positive means the comparable was adjusted upward toward the subject; negative means it was adjusted downward.

Comparable saleDistanceClosedSale priceNet model adjustmentAdjusted indicationSimilarityKey differences considered
41804 Humber Drive0.20 mi.2026-05-06$665,000+$69,250$734,25081/100comp is 80 sq. ft. smaller; comp has 1 fewer bathroom(s)
30515 Iron Bark Court0.26 mi.2026-04-29$600,000+$100,421$700,42168/100comp is 176 sq. ft. smaller; comp lot is 4,792 sq. ft. smaller; comp has 1 more bedroom(s); comp has 1 fewer bathroom(s)
41552 Willow Run0.36 mi.2026-05-15$650,000+$61,865$711,86562/100comp is 211 sq. ft. smaller; comp is 2 years newer; comp lot is 2,178 sq. ft. larger; comp has 1 fewer bathroom(s); comp has 1 more garage space(s)
30874 Crystalaire0.72 mi.2026-06-02$675,000+$5,197$680,19753/100comp is 102 sq. ft. larger; comp is 14 years newer; comp lot is 4,356 sq. ft. smaller; comp has 1 fewer bathroom(s); HOA differs by about $94/mo.

What to verify

The enclosed patio and any additions should be checked for permits and included living-area treatment.

#14
Winchester Standard sale High confidence

34534 Spindle Tree Street

MLS #PW26091177

Current list price $699,999
Estimated market range $730,000–$785,000
Estimated midpoint discount $57,501 · 7.6%
5 beds3 baths3,188 sq. ft.Built 200611,326 sq. ft. lot4-car garageHOA about $34/mo.

Why this home should be on your radar

An identical-size sale on the same street closed around $720,000, with other nearby homes closing from roughly $750,000 to $785,000. The four-car garage, 11,326-square-foot lot, and turnkey condition support placing it on the showing list.

View comparable sales and valuation adjustments
Weighted comp indication$770,571
Statistical cross-check$739,322
Published value range$730,000–$785,000

The net model adjustment is the combined dollar adjustment applied to the closed price for differences in the available MLS characteristics. Positive means the comparable was adjusted upward toward the subject; negative means it was adjusted downward.

Comparable saleDistanceClosedSale priceNet model adjustmentAdjusted indicationSimilarityKey differences considered
34581 Spindle Tree0.06 mi.2026-06-12$720,000+$20,826$740,82694/100comp lot is 1,307 sq. ft. smaller; comp has 1 fewer garage space(s)
32144 Old Country Court0.24 mi.2026-06-18$780,000−$55,556$724,44482/100comp is 80 sq. ft. smaller; comp has 2 more bathroom(s)
32526 Presidio Hills0.60 mi.2026-05-07$785,000+$15,770$800,77072/100comp is 25 sq. ft. larger; comp is 9 years newer; comp lot is 3,050 sq. ft. smaller; comp has 1 fewer garage space(s)
32684 Salvia Circle0.69 mi.2026-06-17$750,000+$52,225$802,22570/100comp is 31 sq. ft. smaller; comp is 3 years older; comp lot is 2,614 sq. ft. smaller; comp has 1 fewer bedroom(s); comp has 1 fewer garage space(s)
32051 Clear Springs Drive0.36 mi.2026-06-25$715,000+$58,203$773,20363/100comp is 242 sq. ft. smaller; comp is 4 years newer; comp lot is 4,356 sq. ft. smaller; comp has 1 fewer bedroom(s); comp has 1 more bathroom(s)
32461 Marietta Court0.69 mi.2026-06-26$775,000+$26,874$801,87454/100comp is 279 sq. ft. smaller; comp is 7 years newer; comp has 2 fewer bedroom(s); comp has 1 fewer garage space(s)

What to verify

The closest same-size sale is lower than the upper range, so buyers should compare upgrades and lot utility carefully.

#15
Temecula Standard sale High confidence

39540 Tischa

MLS #SR26118108

Current list price $590,000
Estimated market range $620,000–$645,000
Estimated midpoint discount $42,500 · 6.7%
3 beds3 baths1,471 sq. ft.Built 19973,485 sq. ft. lot2-car garageHOA about $35/mo.

Why this home should be on your radar

A very close and slightly larger home closed around $625,000. This home is listed at $590,000, has low HOA dues, no Mello-Roos, and may offer a transferable 2.3% VA loan for a qualified buyer.

View comparable sales and valuation adjustments
Weighted comp indication$630,934
Statistical cross-check$637,483
Published value range$620,000–$645,000

The net model adjustment is the combined dollar adjustment applied to the closed price for differences in the available MLS characteristics. Positive means the comparable was adjusted upward toward the subject; negative means it was adjusted downward.

Comparable saleDistanceClosedSale priceNet model adjustmentAdjusted indicationSimilarityKey differences considered
27668 Parkside0.09 mi.2026-06-12$625,000+$10,060$635,06086/100comp is 100 sq. ft. larger; comp has 1 more bedroom(s)
27025 Rock Bluff0.73 mi.2026-05-07$610,000+$8,046$618,04665/100comp is 9 years older; comp lot is 2,613 sq. ft. larger; comp has 1 more bedroom(s)
39714 Rustic Glen0.71 mi.2026-05-11$660,000−$40,272$619,72858/100comp is 88 sq. ft. smaller; comp is 8 years older; comp lot is 1,742 sq. ft. larger; comp has the pool
27097 Quail Creek Court0.68 mi.2026-05-29$655,000−$37,491$617,50957/100comp is 88 sq. ft. smaller; comp is 8 years older; comp lot is 1,307 sq. ft. larger; comp has 1 more bedroom(s); comp has the pool
40166 Valeriana Court0.63 mi.2026-07-09$606,000+$26,564$632,56451/100comp is 217 sq. ft. smaller; comp is 6 years older; comp lot is 2,178 sq. ft. larger; comp has 1 fewer bathroom(s); HOA differs by about $65/mo.
40183 Mimulus0.70 mi.2026-06-30$596,000+$48,064$644,06448/100comp is 217 sq. ft. smaller; comp is 8 years older; comp lot is 2,178 sq. ft. larger; comp has 1 fewer bathroom(s); HOA differs by about $65/mo.

What to verify

The assumable loan is not included in the market value estimate. Confirm the remaining balance, eligibility requirements, and cash needed to bridge the equity.

Important: This is an automated comparative market analysis prepared from the uploaded MLS data. It is not a formal appraisal, broker price opinion, guarantee of value, or representation of property condition. Estimated ranges can change after an inspection, review of permits, HOA documents, tax assessments, solar contracts, title information, concessions, and newly reported sales. Buyers should independently verify all information before making an offer.

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